Month: August 2018

North Carolina to New Jersey: A look at KSU’s 2018 non-conference opponents

Here’s the promised game-by-game analysis of Kent State’s non-conference schedule for the upcoming season.

Kent State was 13-19 last season, 5-13 and 10th in the 12-team Mid-American Conference. The Flashes lost three starters, including all-MAC forward Jordan Korinek, the team’s leading scorer. They return second-leading scorer Megan Carter and three-year starter Alexa Golden. A strong freshman class includes point guard Asiah Dingle, Massachusetts player of the year as a senior, and Hannah Young, a four-time all-state guard in Virginia.

Kent’s RPI last season was 149 of 349 Division I schools. RPI is a rating system based on a team’s record and strength of schedule. Five of the Flashes’ Division I non-conference opponents had better RPIs last season. Five had worse.

SLIPPERY ROCK

12-16 in Division II in 2017-18. Tied for 10th in 18team Pennsyklvania State Athletic Conference with 10-12 record.

This is the first exhibition game since Todd Starkey became coach three years ago. The NCAA allows an exhibition and a closed scrimmage or two closed scrimmages. Scrimmages are usually against neighboring Division I schools and provide better competition. Exhibitions are against non-Division I schools but give fans a chance to see the team. KSU had a closed scrimmage against Cleveland State in Starkey’s first year and scrimmages against CSU and Xavier last year. Slippery Rock game is Sunday, Nov. 4.

KSU’s last exhibition was against Division III Hiram in 2015 and terribly one-sided. Slippery Rock, though not a particularly good Division II school, should provide better competition. (Division III schools allow no athletic scholarships. Division II allow the equivalent of 10 full scholarships, which could be split into some partial scholarships. Division I schools like Kent State have 15 full scholarships.)

AT NORTH CAROLINA

15-16 last season. Finished 12th of 15 teams in the Atlantic Coast Conference with 4-12 record. RPI 114.

In Sylvia Hatchell’s 32 years as head coach, the Tarheels have won a national championship, made the Final Four three times, the Elite Eight six times, and the Sweet Sixteen 14 times. But in the last three seasons Carolina has been 14-18, 15-16 and 15-16. The Tarheels return four starters, including all-ACC guard Paris Kea, who has the highest scoring average in school history at 18.3. Also back is 6-4 center Janelle Bailey, who was ACC rookie of the year last season. Game is Friday, Nov. 9.

AT NORTH CAROLINA STATE

26-9. Tied for fourth in ACC at 11-5 and tied for fourth in ACC. RPI 16. Lost to NCAA tournament runner-up Mississippi State in Sweet 16.

The Wolfpack lost their 6-2 leading scorer and 6-5 starting center, so they’ll be rebuilding their front line. But coming in are a 6-5 freshmen center, a 6-4 freshman forward, and a 6-2 freshman forward. All are rated in the top 15 in the country at their positions.  Game is Sunday, Nov. 11.

The North Carolina trip is a homecoming of sorts for Starkey, who was head coach at Division II Lenoir-Rhyne in North Carolina for nine years. It’s also near home for sophomore point guard Erin Thames, who grew up in Charlotte. Also from not far away is freshman Young, who played at Brookville High School in Forest, Virginia, about two hours away.

NORTHERN KENTUCKY

 9-22. Eighth in Horizon League with 6-12 record. RPI 256.

Lost to Kent State 59-54 in opener last season. Top three scorers and seven of top eight return. Three high school recruits who were on various all-state teams, including one 3,000-point scorer. Game is Saturday, Nov. 17, as part of Kent State Classic,

OAKLAND

15-16. Was 7-11 and seventh in Horizon League. RPI 195.

Just one player who started more than seven games returns, along with another who averaged 11 points, mostly off the bench. Seven-member freshman class includes top-ranked point guard in Canada and two all-state players, plus 6-4 forward. Game is Sunday, Nov. 18, as part of Kent State Classic.

YOUNGSTOWN STATE

16-16. Finished fifth in Horizon League at 11-7. RPI 154. Lost to SUNY Binghamton in first round of WNIT.

Penguins lost to Kent State 55-44 in Youngstown in second game of season last year and was 8-13 before going 7-1 in February. Leading scorer Sarah Cash is one of four returnees who started more than 10 games. Looks like good three-person freshman class, but top player blew out her ACL in West Virginia state tournament in March. Game is Tuesday, Nov. 20, in Kent.

DUQUESNE

25-8. Finished second in 14-team Atlantic 10 with 11-3 record. RPI 72. Advanced to WNIT Sweet 16.

This could be one of the best teams Kent State plays all season. The Dukes return all five starters from a team that went 25-8. They also have a player who missed all of last season with an injury but started 15 games as a freshman, along with a transfer from Maine who was sixth player of the year in the America East Conference as a freshman. One of the East’s better Mid-Majors, the Dukes have won at least 20 games nine of the last 10 years. They beat Kent State soundly twice during the Danny O’Banion years. Game is Wednesday, Nov. 28, in Kent.

AT WRIGHT STATE

23-11. Finished 12-6 and third in Horizon League. RPI 92. Lost to Toledo in first round of WNIT.

This is the fourth straight year the Flashes have played Wright State, and the Raiders have been very good competition. They’ve beaten KSU three of the four years; KSU’s win in Dayton two years ago was one of the best road wins of Kent State’s 19-13 season. Wright State has won 20 games eight of the last nine season but hasn’t been able to get by Wisconsin Green Bay to win the Horizon League. The Raiders return three starters but lost their two best — Horizon player of the year Chelsea Welch and Lexi Smith, who had 1,063 points and 840 rebounds in four years. Game is at Wright State on Sunday, Dec. 2.

AT ROBERT MORRIS 

25-8. Won the Northeast Conference with a 16-2 record. RPI 123. Lost in conference tournament finals and in first round of WNIT.

The Flashes played one of their best games of the year and one of their best defensive games in decades when they beat the Colonials 46-31 at Robert Morris in December. Robert Morris has two two straight Northeast Conference titles and 20 games in four of five years, but they have played weak schedules and are in a weak conference. Their strength of schedule last season was 313 of 349 Division I teams. The Colonials have two starters returning; losses included NEC player of the year Anna Niki Stamolamprou. Game is at Robert Morris on Friday, Dec. 7.

AT ST. BONAVENTURE

8-22. Finished 3-13 and 13th in Atlantic 10. RPI 260.

Kent’s second Atlantic 10 opponent lost their leading scorer but returns four others who started at least 19 games. The Bonnies also have a transfer who started 27 games at Charleston and two incoming freshman who won honors on New York City high school teams.  Game is Monday, Dec. 17, at St. Bonaventure.

AT NJIT

4-26, 2-12 and last in eight-team Atlantic Sun Conference.  RPI 339.

It’s officially the New Jersey Institute of Technology, but even the school website emphasizes NJIT. Highlanders’ RPI of 339 (of 349 teams) is the worst of all KSU opponents. Team has a new coach in Mike Lane, former top assistant at Bucknell, and returns six of seven top scorers. Game is in Newark on Friday, Dec. 21.

CLARION

7-21 in Division II and was 2-20 and last in 18-team Pennsylvania State Athletic Conference.

Flashes haven’t played a game like this in many years — a tune-up against a non-Division I school right before the conference season. Several other MAC schools play such games routinely. Clarion returns all of its key players but its leading scorer. Game is in Kent on Monday, Dec. 31.

So how will Kent do?

The Flashes could have as many as three freshmen, plus a junior college transfer, in the starting lineup. So it’s very hard to get a handle on this team yet. The incoming class is supposed to be one of best in school history.

Looking at the schedule:

North Carolina, North Carolina State and Duquesne look very hard to beat. Wright State is likely to be good again.

The Northern Kentucky, St. Bonaventure, NJT and Clarion games look winnable and Oakland, Youngstown State and Robert Morris look competitive.

That’s somewhere between 4-7 and 7-4 in the non-conference.

2018-19 non-conference schedule looks a little more balanced than last season’s

The 2018-19 schedule the Kent State women released last week looks a little easier and more balanced than last season’s.

The Flashes play fewer top teams and fewer weak teams.

We’re talking just about the non-conference schedule. The MAC, which was the eighth-best conference by RPI last season (out of 32), looks as good or better.

The non-conference schedule

With opponents’ records and RPI from last season

  • Sunday, Nov. 4: Slippery Rock (12-16 in 2017-18) (exhibition).
  • Friday, Nov. 9: at North Carolina (15-16, RPI 114).
  • Sunday, Nov. 11: at North Carolina State (26-9. RPI 16).
  • Saturday, Nov. 17: (Kent State Classic), Northern Kentucky (9-22, RPI 256)
  • Sunday, Nov. 18: (Kent State Classic): Oakland (15-16, RPI 195).
  • Tuesday, Nov. 20: Youngstown State (16-16. RPI 154).
  • Wednesday, Nov. 28: Duquesne (25-8, RPI 72).
  • Sunday, Dec. 2: at Wright State (23-11, RPI 92).
  • Friday, Dec. 7: at Robert Morris (25-8, RPI 123).
  • Monday, Dec. 17: at St. Bonaventure (8-22, RPI 260).
  • Friday, Dec. 21: at New Jersey Institute of Technology (4-26, RPI 339).
  • Monday, Dec. 31: Clarion (7-21 in Division II).

Schedule notes:

  • There are five home and six away games, plus a home exhibition.
  • The Flashes open with weekend games at North Carolina and North Carolina State of the Atlantic Coast Conference. They are the team’s only games against Power 5 opponents. KSU also had two last year — Stanford and Michigan.
  • Kent State plays three non-conference teams whose RPI was in the top 100 at the end of last season — North Carolina State (16), Duquesne (72) and Wright State (92).  Last season the Flashes played five teams in the top 100 — Stanford (13), Michigan (34), Gonzaga (37), Florida Gulf Coast (44) and Wright State (92). RPI rankings are based on a team’s record and strength of schedule.
  • The Flashes play two teams whose RPI last season was higher than 250 — Northern Kentucky (256) and NJIT (339). Last season the Flashes played four teams with an RPI over 250 — Northern Kentucky (256), Southeastern Louisiana (297), Detroit (327), Eastern Kentucky (315). (There are 349 Division I schools. Kent State’s RPI last season was 149.)
  •  North Carolina State reached the Sweet 16 of the NCAA Tournament. Robert Morris,  Wright State, Duquesne and Youngstown State made the WNIT.
  • KSU non-conference opponents had a 166-169 record in 2017-18. Last year’s non-conference opponents were 185-177.
  • Kent plays its first Division II opponent — Clarion University — in Todd Starkey’s three years’s as coach. The Dec. 31 game is the last before MAC play starts against Eastern Michigan on Saturday, Jan. 5 in Kent.
  • Overall, KSU plays one fewer non-conference game than last season and no holiday tournament. (My impression is that the three-game tournaments the Flashes played the last two years counted as two games against the maximum number allowed by the NCAA.)
  • The Flashes do have a tournament of sorts — in Kent. The Flashes play Northern Kentucky and Oakland of the Horizon League on Nov. 17 and 18 in “Kent Classic.” The same opponents will play Akron on opposite days, still at the MACC. Starkey and former Akron coach Jodi Kent worked out an arrangement where Akron and Kent would alternate hosting the event. Last season’s “Akron Classic” was at the James A. Rhodes Arena. The idea is to cut down on travel expenses for visiting teams. The last time Kent hosted a similar event was in the early 1980s, when the Flashes had a “holiday classic” at Thanksgiving for about five years.
  • The non-conferences schedule has four Horizon League teams (Northern Kentucky, Oakland, Youngstown State and Wright State), two ACC schools (North Carolina and N.C. State) and two from the Atlantic 10 (Duquesne and St. Bonaventure). Robert Morris plays in the Northeastern Conference and NJIT in the Atlantic Sun.
  • In MAC play, the Flashes will play Western Division opponents Eastern Michigan and Western Michigan twice. They’re home against the West’s  Central Michigan and Northern Illinois and away against Ball State and Toledo.
  • Other than the North Carolina trip, it’s a very compact schedule geographically. Next farthest south is Wright State in Dayton, about a three-hour drive. Farthest trips west are Western Michigan and Ball State, both about four hours. Farthest east is Newark, New Jersey, against New Jersey Institute of Technology. Next farthest east is St. Bonaventure in Olean, N.Y., about a three-hour drive.
  • The schedule includes the first exhibition game of the Starkey era — a Sunday, Nov. 4, meeting with Division II Slippery Rock. Last year the Flashes had two closed scrimmages. His first season had one closed scrimmage.
  • After the opening exhibition, the Flashes play the two games in North Carolina, then four in a row at home, then four in a row on the road, then Clarion at home, then the MAC season.

I’ll run through the non-conference schedule game by game in the next post, with a little analysis on each opponent.